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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

As I have argued in all four of my posts, so far, about 2022, it was year when we saw a return to normalcy on many fronts, as treasury rates reverted back to pre-2008 levels, and risk capital discovered that risk has a downside.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

With this investment, you face price risk , since even though you know what you will receive as a coupon or cash flow in future periods, since the present value of these cash flows, will change as rates change. and how much to hold in investments with guaranteed returns over their time horizon (cash, treasury bill and treasury bonds).

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Data Update 3 for 2021: Currencies, Commodities, Collectibles and Cryptos

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I described the wild ride that the price of risk took in 2020, with equity risk premiums and default spreads initially sky rocketing, as the virus led to global economic shutdowns, and then just as abruptly dropping back to pre-crisis levels over the course of the year. Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

The second is that there are great (and free) sources for macro economic data, ranging from the Federal Reserve (FRED) to the World Bank and I don’t see the point of replicating something that they already do well. Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question. Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

Put simply they look at a long time period in the past (50 years or even 100 years) and look at the premium that stocks earned over a risk free investment (treasury bills or bonds); that historical risk premium then gets used as a measure of the current equity risk premium.

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Transcript: Edward Chancellor

Barry Ritholtz

CHANCELLOR: And I actually — one of my last projects at GMO was to do a sort of — to look at what was going on from economic sentiment perspective, looking at various different measures in a bull bear ratio, amount of margin loans in system. They’re actually just buying long dollars, treasuries. back in sort of 2012.

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Restructuring Compensation And Roles To Align For Growth

CFO News Room

Because the economics of profitability start showing up particularly when you’re starting to hire other advisors and staff and team. ” look at the Monte Carlo simulations, look at what is the hurdle rate. You really have to start crystalizing an org chart and who does what, and clarifying roles and responsibilities.