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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

During the course of the year, investors also rediscovered that the essence of business is not growing revenues or adding users, but making profits from that growth. In this post, I will focus on trend lines in profitability at companies in 2022, with the intent of addressing multiple questions.

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Planning, Budgeting, and Forecasting: Can they be Used Interchangeably?

The Finance Weekly

An example of a financial plan is creating a long term goal or mission statement (let’s say 5 years) and then working out the details. Calculating profit and loss, revenue, market trajectories, and cash flow statements are some of the more detailed analysis to create on the way to the goal. Forecasting.

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Transcript: Graeme Forster, Orbis Investments

Barry Ritholtz

And they go on longer and longer and obviously more profitable for the states that run the lottery. It’s a function of log normal returns that we see in, in stock markets. Outperform the market over decades and you’re a winner. That’s the $2 that the lottery is worth for me. And it’s exactly the same.

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10 Thursday AM Reads

Barry Ritholtz

My morning train WFH reads: • The Active Management Delusion: Respect the Wisdom of the Crowd : “My basic point here is that neither the Financial Analysts as a whole nor the investment funds as a whole can expect to ‘beat the market,’ because in a significant sense they (or you) are the market. Vox ) • Got Milk?

Valuation 113
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Transcript: Cliff Asness

Barry Ritholtz

So your doctoral thesis asserted that consistently beating market averages was attainable by exploiting both value and momentum. Because, you know, there’s this constant fight in academia, if you believe something works, does it work because markets are efficient in its compensation for risk, or for behavioral reasons?