article thumbnail

Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

As I have argued in all four of my posts, so far, about 2022, it was year when we saw a return to normalcy on many fronts, as treasury rates reverted back to pre-2008 levels, and risk capital discovered that risk has a downside.

article thumbnail

In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

With this investment, you face price risk , since even though you know what you will receive as a coupon or cash flow in future periods, since the present value of these cash flows, will change as rates change. and how much to hold in investments with guaranteed returns over their time horizon (cash, treasury bill and treasury bonds).

article thumbnail

Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

That said, it does mean that any broad conclusions (about profitability and revenues) that emerge from my data apply to public companies, and it may be dangerous to extrapolate to private businesses, especially in a year like 2020 where private businesses could have been affected more adversely by COVID shutdowns than public companies.