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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

During 2022, the US treasury did not default, but an investor in a 10-year US treasury bond would have earned a return of -18% on his or her investment, as bond prices dropped. and how much to hold in investments with guaranteed returns over their time horizon (cash, treasury bill and treasury bonds).

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Transcript: Kenneth Tropin

Barry Ritholtz

RITHOLTZ: And those were Treasuries. And so, you know, it was relatively, I wouldn’t say straightforward because I don’t think generating consistent profits has ever been something that’s so straightforward or so easy. RITHOLTZ: Like, very different universe, right? TROPIN: Right. TROPIN: Yeah. No, no, no.

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Transcript: Bill Dudley, NY Fed Chief

Barry Ritholtz

So, for example, the treasury was thinking about moving to direct deposit, but they wanted to know how much it was gonna cost them because direct deposit, they, they, they, they, the money clears, you know, sorry, almost instantly, right? So they wanna know how many days does it take a, a treasury check to get back to us.

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Transcript: Gary Cohn

Barry Ritholtz

So, you know, we, we, we got involved and created a benchmark, a commodity indices at the time. He knows how to manage risk, and he knows how to trade for a profit for a p and l. Hank Paulson had left to go become treasury secretary. And occasionally people are gonna argue about, Hey, who has this loss?

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