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Data Update 3 for 2021: Currencies, Commodities, Collectibles and Cryptos

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will take a look at these other markets, starting with a way of dividing investments into assets, commodities, currencies and collectibles that I find useful in thinking about what I can (and cannot) do in those markets, and then reviewing how these markets performed during 2020. Currencies : A currency serves three functions.

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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

In particular, there are wide variations in how risk is measured, and once measured, across companies and countries, and those variations can lead to differences in expected returns and hurdle rates, central to both corporate finance and investing judgments. What's coming?

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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

In my last point on inflation, I noted that a currency with higher inflation can be expected to depreciate over time against a currency with lower inflation. That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

In my last point on inflation, I noted that a currency with higher inflation can be expected to depreciate over time against a currency with lower inflation. That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

Thus, an analyst who follows young technology companies may decide that paying ten times revenues for a company is a bargain, if all of the companies that he tracks trade at multiples greater than ten times revenues. It is true that the Turkish company will face more risk because of its location, but that is an issue separate from currency.

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Transcript: Edward Chancellor

Barry Ritholtz

Railways were this revolutionary technology that was going to change the world, going to change civilization, the speed with which people — roughly at the same time, remember Mary Meeker of Morgan Stanley — RITHOLTZ: Sure. CHANCELLOR: They’re buying them to manipulate the currency of China, most of all.

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Transcript: Stephen Suttmeier

Barry Ritholtz

Technology, you know, the sector itself, the technology still has a stronger relative chart pattern. And technology and discretionary and comm services had a chance to rotate into a more bearish leadership position and did not do that. Safe harbor harbor here, a little apo apocalyptic currency. And technology.