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Data: Trickle to a Flood! It is perhaps a reflection of my age that I remember when getting data to do corporate financialanalysis or valuation was a chore. Much of my focus, when it comes to data, is on company-specific variables, rather than macro economic data, for two reasons.
As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop. Ultimately, a government that chooses to default is making a political choice, as much as it is an economic one.
It is perhaps a reflection of my age that I remember when getting data to do corporate financialanalysis or valuation was a chore. Sectors and Industries : To make data useful for corporate financialanalysis and valuation, I break the companies down into groupings, based upon the sectors and industries that they operate in.
The second is that there are great (and free) sources for macro economic data, ranging from the Federal Reserve (FRED) to the World Bank and I don’t see the point of replicating something that they already do well. Data Update 4 for 2021: The HurdleRate Question. Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!
One is curiosity , as political and economic crises roll through regions of the world, roiling long-held beliefs about safe and risky countries. My suggestion is that for countries where recent political or economic events would lead you to believe that sovereign rating is dated, you should switch to using sovereign CDS spreads.
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