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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

As I have argued in all four of my posts, so far, about 2022, it was year when we saw a return to normalcy on many fronts, as treasury rates reverted back to pre-2008 levels, and risk capital discovered that risk has a downside.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

With this investment, you face price risk , since even though you know what you will receive as a coupon or cash flow in future periods, since the present value of these cash flows, will change as rates change. and how much to hold in investments with guaranteed returns over their time horizon (cash, treasury bill and treasury bonds).

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

In closing, I also want to dispense with the notion that data is objective and that numbers-focused people have no bias. Finally, it is worth noting that, notwithstanding the travails of last year, the number of firms in the data universe increased from 44,394 firms at the start of 2020 to 46,579 firms, a 4.9%

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Data Update 3 for 2021: Currencies, Commodities, Collectibles and Cryptos

Musings on Markets

Both oil and copper dropped during the peak crisis weeks (February 14 through March 23, 2020), but while copper not only recouped its losses and was up almost 26% over the course of the year, oil remains more than 20% below the start-of-the-year numbers. Treasury bond prices moved inversely with stock prices , at least during 2020.

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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

Put simply they look at a long time period in the past (50 years or even 100 years) and look at the premium that stocks earned over a risk free investment (treasury bills or bonds); that historical risk premium then gets used as a measure of the current equity risk premium. Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question.

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Restructuring Compensation And Roles To Align For Growth

CFO News Room

” look at the Monte Carlo simulations, look at what is the hurdle rate. And I said, “Look, you’ve got to look at where we are with valuations, and you have to look at where the 10-year Treasury is at. And so, that can move the numbers, as well. And so, that can move the numbers, as well.

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Transcript: Edward Chancellor

Barry Ritholtz

I mean, I used to write about that in this new book where money flows off to the emerging markets when dollar rates are low. They’re actually just buying long dollars, treasuries. And then it comes back because these guys, they’re not saving. RITHOLTZ: And then investing.