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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

Arbitrage pricing : Arbitrage refers to the possibility that you can create risk-free positions by combining holdings in different securities, and the benchmark used to judge whether these positions are value-creating becomes the risk-free rate. But what if government securities are viewed as risky?

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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

Barry Ritholtz

And so, while you can see that concentration in markets, and sales, and trading, once I started really working with our private bank in a meaningful way, I was then able to lead teams of investment counselors and investors. It’s late in the summer in 2022, markets sold off 22, 24 percent, recovered about half of those losses ….

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Transcript: Kenneth Tropin

Barry Ritholtz

And so, you know, it was relatively, I wouldn’t say straightforward because I don’t think generating consistent profits has ever been something that’s so straightforward or so easy. And it’s always going to expect to lose some of those profits when the trend reverses, but still end up capturing the meat of the trend.

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Transcript: Bill Dudley, NY Fed Chief

Barry Ritholtz

And, and since then, you, you’ve gone on to do some work reforming L-I-B-O-R as the benchmark for rates. And so you had a situation where you could take big positions in the euro dollar market, affect the price and the cash market and actually make a profit. But those forecasts are, you know, not particularly reliable.