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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop. The Swiss 10-year government bond rate, in July 2023, of 1.02% meets both criteria, making it the risk-free rate in Swiss Francs.

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Transcript: Tim Buckley, Vanguard’s CEO

Barry Ritholtz

And I love business, I love the markets, I want to go there. What sort of challenges — BUCKLEY: A couple of bear markets. BUCKLEY: We’ve had, let’s see, inflation at a 40-year high, tightest labor market of our lifetimes. We were losing market share in the critical retirement, the 401(k) business.

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Transcript: Julian Salisbury, GS

Barry Ritholtz

And then in a fit of madness, I guess, at the end of 2006, the credit markets were pretty uninteresting. So I had an interest in the Russian market. One, the London market is where it’s been most of my career. I knew the market, but I also knew the people there. There wasn’t a lot to do. SALISBURY: Yes.

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Transcript: Savita Subramanian

Barry Ritholtz

It’s because, you know, when everybody’s looking at all this data and it all seems terrible, chances are that information’s priced into the market. I 00:13:35 [Speaker Changed] Met him at a, a, a Market Technician’s Association. About equity markets. Oh, nice event. 00:13:46 [Speaker Changed] Yes.

Finance 57
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Transcript: Stephen Suttmeier

Barry Ritholtz

You work at Capital Growth Financial and in former global markets before you join investing Giant Merrill Lynch in 2007, what was that transition like from smaller shops to a really, really big one? You go on the road, you see offices, they ask you questions about markets, stocks, things like that. That’s right.