Barry Ritholtz

AUGUST 1, 2023

Forecasting Folly : Did you get sucked into the endless predictions of doom and gloom ? Recall John Kenneth Galbraith’s observation: “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” Never forget: Forecasts are marketing. Were you convinced by the people who saw the Recession coming ?

Forecasting 98

Forecasting Concentration Valuation Economics 98

CFO News Room

JANUARY 17, 2023

As the world’s attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. Ukraine, a part of the Soviet Union, has had its shares of ups and downs, and its economic footprint is even smaller.

Economics 130

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 130

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2023

Looking across the risk capital metrics, notwithstanding the recovery we have seen in equities this year, it looks like risk capital is still on the side lines, perhaps because that recovery is concentrated in large and money-making companies. YouTube Video Spreadsheets Intrinsic Valuation of the S&P 500 Spreadsheet

Marketing 104

Marketing Treasury Valuation Investments 104

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. Ukraine, a part of the Soviet Union, has had its shares of ups and downs, and its economic footprint is even smaller.

Economics 100

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 100

Barry Ritholtz

FEBRUARY 6, 2024

There’s also quantitative metrics that we look at Those have evolved, but always within that capa, that cluster of high returns on investment stability across the economic cycle are consistent and strong balance sheets. Going back to the eighties and nineties, I told you kind of the fundamental definition. It was over 50 right?

Valuation 52

Valuation Investments Finance Math 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

To illustrate, consider a practice in valuation, where analysts are trained to add a small cap premium to discount rates for smaller companies, on the intuition that they are riskier than larger companies. It is very likely that these rules of thumb were developed from data and observation, but at a different point in time.

Valuation 52

Valuation Currencies Numbers Corporate Finance 52

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

It is true that economic activity has leveled off and housing prices have declined a little, relative to a year ago, but given the rise in rates in 2022, those changes are mild. If anything, the economy seems to have settled into a stable pattern, albeit at the high levels that it reached in the second half of 2021.

Marketing 95

Marketing Treasury Currencies Valuation 95