Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2023

While the rise in treasury rates has been less dramatic this year, rates have continued to rise across the term structure: US Treasury While short term rates rose sharply in the first half of the year, and long term rates stabilized, the third quarter has sen a reversal, with short term rates now stabilizing and long term rates rising.

Marketing 104

Marketing Treasury Valuation Investments 104

CFO News Room

JANUARY 17, 2023

Consequently, I will concentrate this post on how this crisis is playing out in markets, and the effects it has had, so far, on businesses and investments, and whether these effects are likely to be transient or permanent. I revisited my valuation of the index, with the updated values: Spreadsheet to value the S&P 500.

Economics 130

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 130

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

Consequently, I will concentrate this post on how this crisis is playing out in markets, and the effects it has had, so far, on businesses and investments, and whether these effects are likely to be transient or permanent. to 25% for the Eurozone. as of March 16, 2022.

Economics 100

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

To illustrate, consider a practice in valuation, where analysts are trained to add a small cap premium to discount rates for smaller companies, on the intuition that they are riskier than larger companies. It is very likely that these rules of thumb were developed from data and observation, but at a different point in time.

Valuation 52

Valuation Currencies Numbers Corporate Finance 52

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

In my third post at the start of 2023, I looked at US treasuries, the long-touted haven of safety for investors. In 2022, they were in the eye on the storm, with the ten-year US treasury bond depreciating in price by more than 19% during the year, the worst year for US treasury returns in a century.

Marketing 95

Marketing Treasury Currencies Valuation 95

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 15, 2023

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. For an investment to be risk free then, it has to meet two conditions.

Investments 80

Investments Currencies Treasury Hurdle Rate 80

Barry Ritholtz

AUGUST 16, 2022

RITHOLTZ: And those were Treasuries. TROPIN: I mean, you know, there were equity hedge funds that were pretty levered, that had pretty highly concentrated, you know, growth bets, and a lot of technology companies and so on. Well, I’m not forecasting another 20% down, but I do think we could go down 5% or 10%. TROPIN: Yeah.

Profit and Loss 117

Profit and Loss Foreign Exchange Valuation Investments 117