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New Data: What COVID-19 Is Doing To Main Street SMBs

PYMNTS

The construction and manufacturing sectors were the most bullish, as consumers bought new houses and invested in improving the ones in which they were living. Doing The Math. For most SMBs , 2019 was a banner year, and 2020 was expected to be nothing less than spectacular. Most of the SMBs we asked aren’t new to the world.

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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

So I was a mile deep on a subject matter of bond indexing, but now I had the opportunity to lead an equity indexing group, the entire fixed income team, our investment strategy team that does research for our clients around portfolio construction, those types of things. So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings.

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Transcript: Graeme Forster, Orbis Investments

Barry Ritholtz

A degree in mathematics from Oxford, a doctorate in mathematical epidemiology and economics from Cambridge. So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. What is that? The second is excess returns.

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Transcript: Cathy Marcus, PGIM Real Estate

Barry Ritholtz

I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. And, and that is, you know, the treasuries were so low that you could be, have a 4%, 5% yield, even 3% on a real estate investment and still have a nice cushion over treasuries. I have no family history.

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Transcript: Ted Seides

Barry Ritholtz

It’s much more about security selection and a relatively static portfolio construction. SEIDES: Yeah, I wouldn’t measure it in terms of economic returns. So you go back a couple of years and you could say, “Well, what return is available buying a treasury?” You still had 2012 to 2017 to finish the bet.

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Transcript: Rick Rieder

Barry Ritholtz

But since you mentioned getting return on the risk you take, how do you think about duration when the three-month Treasury is more or less the same or better than the 10-year? RIEDER: And all of a sudden, you change the economic paradigm so darn fast. RITHOLTZ: We’ll talk a little bit about the inverted yield curve later.

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Transcript: Sean Dobson, Amherst Holdings

Barry Ritholtz

So we could construct trades that had very, very low premiums to sell this volatility to, to basically join the consumer on their side of the trade, which is in essence buying insurance on, on the bonds that were exposed to these great risk. We participated in that with treasury and FHFA and the regulators, the White House.