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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

I spend most of my time in the far less rarefied air of corporate finance and valuation, where businesses try to decide what projects to invest in, and investors attempt to estimate business value. In this role, the cost of capital is an opportunity cost, measuring returns you can earn on investments on equivalent risk.

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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

In corporate finance and investing, which are areas that I work in, I find myself doing double takes as I listen to politicians, market experts and economists making statements about company and market behavior that are fairy tales, and data is often my weapon for discerning the truth. Return on (invested) capital 2.

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Data Update 7 for 2025: The End Game in Business!

Musings on Markets

I am in the third week of the corporate finance class that I teach at NYU Stern, and my students have been lulled into a false sense of complacency about what's coming, since I have not used a single metric or number in my class yet.

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Data Update 9 for 2025: Dividends and Buybacks - Inertia and Me-tooism!

Musings on Markets

It also follows that the investment, financing, and dividend decisions , at most firms, are interconnected, since for any given set of investments, borrowing more money will free up more cash flows to return to shareholders, and for any given financing, investing more back into the business will leave less in returnable cash flows.

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The Corporate Life Cycle: Corporate Finance, Valuation and Investing Implications!

Musings on Markets

In fact, the business life cycle has become an integral part of the corporate finance, valuation and investing classes that I teach, and in many of the posts that I have written on this blog. Tech companies age in dog years, and the consequences for how we manage, value and invest in them are profound.

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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

In fact, almost every investment scam in history, from the South Sea Bubble to Bernie Madoff, has offered investors the alluring combination of great opportunities with no or low danger, and induced by sweet talk, but made blind by greed, thousands have fallen prey. Let me use two illustrations to bring this home.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

In fact, almost every investment scam in history, from the South Sea Bubble to Bernie Madoff, has offered investors the alluring combination of great opportunities with no or low danger, and induced by sweet talk, but made blind by greed, thousands have fallen prey. Let me use two illustrations to bring this home.