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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

In my last point on inflation, I noted that a currency with higher inflation can be expected to depreciate over time against a currency with lower inflation. That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

I was reminded of that paper a few weeks ago, when Fitch downgraded the US, from AAA to AA+, a relatively minor shift, but one with significant psychological consequences for investors in the largest economy in the world, whose currency still dominates global transactions. and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

In my last point on inflation, I noted that a currency with higher inflation can be expected to depreciate over time against a currency with lower inflation. That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

First, all value numbers (like market capitalization, debt or revenues) that I aggregate or average will be converted into US dollars to ensure currency consistency. First, all value numbers (like market capitalization, debt or revenues) that I aggregate or average will be converted into US dollars to ensure currency consistency.

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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

Thus, if a 10-year corporate bond has a yield of 3.00% and a 10-year government bond, in the same currency and with no default risk, has a yield of 1.00%, the difference is termed the default spread and becomes a measure of the price of risk in the bond market. Data Update 3 for 2021: Currencies, Commodities, Collectibles and Cryptos!

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Transcript: Stephen Suttmeier

Barry Ritholtz

And economic indicators, like the unemployment rate or the claims data, and you know, we actually did some scenario analysis around that recently, just talking about, Hey, what happens if the employment rate rises versus falls? Safe harbor harbor here, a little apo apocalyptic currency.