Remove Forecasting Remove Leverage Remove Math Remove Profit and Loss
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Transcript: Kristen Bitterly Michell

Barry Ritholtz

I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. BITTERLY MICHELL: Not in leveraged, no, not at all, give more …. It’s late in the summer in 2022, markets sold off 22, 24 percent, recovered about half of those losses ….

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Transcript: Cliff Asness

Barry Ritholtz

ASNESS: Some of the things like betting against beta, quality or profitability, carry strategies were additions over time. ASNESS: And we had a great almost a decade, because everything else we do work, profitability one; fundamental, momentum one; low risk one. But we don’t trade on a 10-year forecast. RITHOLTZ: Okay.

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Transcript: Sean Dobson, Amherst Holdings

Barry Ritholtz

And so, so we sort of felt pretty stupid for a while because we did a lot of losing trades in 2006 that were the, you know, that obviously didn’t come to fruition until the actual people could see the losses. So in mortgages, the borrower can stop paying maybe a year to two years before the lenders actually book a loss.

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Transcript: Liz Hoffman

Barry Ritholtz

Ends up turning about $27 million of swap premiums into 2 billion plus in profit. I mean, you’re talking about, I don’t, I could do the math, it’s like a 10,000% return in like three weeks. And it was just such a good reminder that like, there was no ability to forecast this. And that’s sort of the math.

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Transcript: Gary Cohn

Barry Ritholtz

It’s, it’s no different But, but inherently in futures, a whole lot more leverage, a whole lot more risk. You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. And occasionally people are gonna argue about, Hey, who has this loss?

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