CFO News Room

JANUARY 14, 2023

The nature of markets is that they are never quite settled, as investors recalibrate expectations constantly and reset prices. Clearly, we are not in one of those time periods, as markets approach bipolar territory, with big moves up and down.

Treasury 130

Treasury Economics Investments Marketing 130

CFO News Room

JANUARY 22, 2023

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don’t always win, even in the long term.

Forecasting 130

Forecasting Treasury Investments Economics 130

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 5, 2023

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. The risk premium that you demand has different names in different markets.

Treasury 78

Treasury Valuation Investments Corporate Finance 78

Musings on Markets

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

By the start of 2022, the window for early action had closed and for much of this year, inflation has been the elephant in the room, driving markets and forcing central banks to be reactive, and its presence has already induced me to write three posts on its impact.

Treasury 74

Treasury Valuation Currencies Forecasting 74

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 24, 2024

As we start 2024, the interest rate prognosticators who misread the bond markets so badly in 2023 are back to making their 2024 forecasts, and they show no evidence of having learned any lessons from the last year. The Fed Effect: Where's the beef?

Treasury 52

Treasury Currencies Marketing Economics 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

Valuation 80

Valuation Treasury Marketing Investments 80

Musings on Markets

JULY 1, 2022

As inflation has taken center stage, markets have gone into retreat globally, and across asset classes. In 2022, as bond rates have risen, stock prices have fallen, and crypto has imploded, even true believers are questioning what the bottom for markets might be, and when we will get there.

Marketing 88

Marketing Investments Profit and Loss Treasury 88

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. The increase in default spreads was not restricted to foreign markets, as fear also pushed up spreads in the corporate bond market.

Economics 100

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 21, 2023

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don't always win, even in the long term.

Valuation 70

Valuation Treasury Investments Forecasting 70

Musings on Markets

MAY 6, 2022

The nature of markets is that they are never quite settled, as investors recalibrate expectations constantly and reset prices. Clearly, we are not in one of those time periods, as markets approach bipolar territory, with big moves up and down.

Treasury 92

Treasury Economics Investments Marketing 92

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 15, 2023

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. For an investment to be risk free then, it has to meet two conditions.

Investments 80

Investments Currencies Treasury Hurdle Rate 80

E78 Partners

APRIL 13, 2023

Key Takeaways Private capital markets faced headwinds in 2022, but a boom is predicted due to more companies staying private longer, institutional investors increasing allocations to private equity, and a demographic shift as entrepreneurial Baby Boomers consider succession plans for their businesses. Are you prepared for this secular trend?

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) 52

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Leadership Forecasting CFO 52

CFO News Room

JANUARY 12, 2023

As inflation has taken center stage, markets have gone into retreat globally, and across asset classes. In 2022, as bond rates have risen, stock prices have fallen, and crypto has imploded, even true believers are questioning what the bottom for markets might be, and when we will get there.

Investments 130

Investments Profit and Loss Treasury Marketing 130

PYMNTS

MAY 5, 2020

Analysts at UBS Securities lowered Wells Fargo’s rating and earnings forecast, saying the bank will have a tougher time bouncing back from the pandemic — more so than other financial institutions. The Small Business Administration (SBA) and the Treasury Department said there is roughly $145 billion left in the fund. Banks in the U.S.

B2B 56

B2B Valuation Treasury Forecasting 56

Simply Treasury

FEBRUARY 24, 2020

Think of the automakers and Tesla's recent valuation that reflects these profound changes. Central banks want to incorporate climate risks into all their forecasts. Market reactions, sometimes surprising. Isn't the market reaction and recovery despite the Corona virus proof of the blindness of market players?

Banking 130

Banking Economics Valuation Treasury 130

Future CFO

APRIL 13, 2023

The three years since 2020 saw organisations focus on digitalisation, payment efficiency, security, and cash forecasting. PwC says M&A tends to slow during times of uncertainty or market volatility—but those can be precisely the times when valuations become more attractive and opportunity knocks.

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) 52

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Communication CFO Leadership 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 20, 2021

Investors are constantly in search of a single metric that will tell them whether a market is under or over valued, and consequently whether they should buying or selling holdings in that market. Risk premiums can and will change over time : Risk premiums are driven by risk aversion, and risk aversion itself can change over time.

Treasury 52

Treasury Investments Valuation Hurdle Rate 52

Musings on Markets

MAY 11, 2021

Encourage savings/ capital formation : In an economy, where private capital is behind the bulk of economic investment and growth, governments are dependent up the health of capital markets (stocks and bonds) for continued growth.

Investments 52

Investments Valuation Treasury Forecasting 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms.

Valuation 52

Valuation Currencies Numbers Corporate Finance 52

PYMNTS

NOVEMBER 10, 2017

Hong Kong’s WeLab still won’t reveal its valuation after securing another major funding round. Kinara focuses on providing microloans to small businesses, working to act in a market somewhere between microfinance and commercial lending. Alternative Lending. B2B payments. Supply Chain Management.

Investments 40

Investments Finance B2B Startups 40

Barry Ritholtz

AUGUST 29, 2023

So from a client strategy, marketing standpoint, and then overseeing the investment team. And the reality is that, we know that’s very difficult to do and outperform the broader market. Let’s talk a little bit about the Vanguard Total Market Index. So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings.

Investments 52

Investments Benchmarking Valuation Construction 52

Barry Ritholtz

FEBRUARY 13, 2023

And this is just a masterclass in how to manage assets, think about your career, understand the relationship between markets, between fixed income, the Fed, the dollar, sentiment, consumer spending, just everything is related and understanding what matters when is the key to your success. And you know, I love markets. RIEDER: Yeah.

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) 57

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Investments Marketing Education 57

Barry Ritholtz

SEPTEMBER 26, 2023

But here you have the guy who is part of the team running the fund day-to-day, right into the teeth of the collapse of the financial markets. It often felt like we were one of very few, or maybe the only one buying in the market, which took a lot of fortitude. In the great financial crisis. That had mismatched assets.

Investments 52

Investments Economics Banking Construction 52

Barry Ritholtz

AUGUST 16, 2022

RITHOLTZ: And those were Treasuries. It was an era where, you know, first of all, the markets were really inefficient, right? TROPIN: So it was very fertile to do what we do because markets moved a lot. Commodity markets were moving a lot. It’s much better to be involved in trend following when markets are moving.

Profit and Loss 118

Profit and Loss Foreign Exchange Valuation Investments 118

Barry Ritholtz

MARCH 12, 2024

This is the back when mortgages were sort of a backwater of the fixed income market. It takes quite a lot of, of research, quite a lot of modeling, quite a lot of data to actually keep up with the mortgage market. By the time you get to the early 2000s, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae and me were losing market share.

Profit and Loss 57

Profit and Loss Investments Marketing Securities 57

Barry Ritholtz

FEBRUARY 20, 2024

There are few people in the world who understand the interrelationships between central banks, the economy, and markets like Bill Dudley does this, this is just a master class in, in understanding all the factors that affect everything from the economy to inflation, to the labor market, the housing market, and of course, federal Reserve policy.

Treasury 57

Treasury Marketing Economics Banking 57

Barry Ritholtz

OCTOBER 31, 2023

Wall Street Journal ) • Great news about American wealth: Regular Americans are getting richer : A week ago, the Fed and Treasury released its 2022 data from the Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF), which is a big survey they do every three years in which they ask households about their finances. It Isn’t Just Rising Interest Rates.

Valuation 52

Valuation Treasury Forecasting Finance 52