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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company’s earnings and value.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company's earnings and value.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. Why does the risk-free rate matter? What is a risk free investment?

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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

If you have taken a corporate finance class sometime in your past life are probably wondering how this approach reconciles with the Miller-Modigliani theorem, a key component of most corporate finance classes, which posits that there is no optimal debt ratio, and that the debt mix does not affect the value of a business.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

The first is that I do not have a macro focus, and my interests in macro variables occur only in the context of corporate finance or valuation issues. I also report estimates of the default spreads based upon current yields on bonds in different ratings classes and the current riskfree rate.