Musings on Markets

JANUARY 24, 2024

As we start 2024, the interest rate prognosticators who misread the bond markets so badly in 2023 are back to making their 2024 forecasts, and they show no evidence of having learned any lessons from the last year. The Fed Effect: Where's the beef? The Fed Effect: Where's the beef? 4.50%, by the end of the year.

Treasury 52

Treasury Currencies Marketing Economics 52

Future CFO

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

The year 2024 brings a landscape of unprecedented challenges and opportunities for corporate treasurers. From the ongoing global conflicts to the lingering effects of high inflation, corporate finance professionals are gearing up to navigate an environment marked by volatility and uncertainty.

Treasury 105

Treasury Technology Cash Flow Forecasting Leverage 105

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

To illustrate, consider a practice in valuation, where analysts are trained to add a small cap premium to discount rates for smaller companies, on the intuition that they are riskier than larger companies. It is very likely that these rules of thumb were developed from data and observation, but at a different point in time.

Valuation 52

Valuation Currencies Numbers Corporate Finance 52

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 5, 2023

Put simply, if you are using an equity risk premium in your company valuation that is much lower (higher) than the market-set equity risk premium, you are biasing yourself to find the company to be under (over) valued.

Treasury 78

Treasury Valuation Investments Corporate Finance 78

Future CFO

DECEMBER 7, 2020

ST: I’m reporting to the CEO and board of directors, providing leadership in all aspects of business and finance, including strategic planning, annual business plan, rolling forecast, financial management, treasury, regulatory reporting, internal controls, taxation, and procurement. All these are key to success.

CFO 52

CFO Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Leadership Finance 52

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 15, 2023

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. What is a risk free investment? Why does the risk-free rate matter?

Investments 80

Investments Currencies Treasury Hurdle Rate 80

Musings on Markets

MAY 11, 2021

Historical Stock Returns: Pre and Post-tax At the start of every year, I update a dataset , where I look at historical returns on stocks over time, and compare these returns to returns on treasury bonds/bills, corporate bonds and gold.

Investments 52

Investments Valuation Treasury Forecasting 52