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Core inflation, rising rates remain main credit risks

Future CFO

When it comes to the main credit risks, inflation and interest rates remain the most significant watch item for global credit, said Fitch Ratings recently. According to Fitch’s base-case forecasts, this will include a shallow recession in the US, limited growth in the eurozone and building risks to China’s recovery.

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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

I did an internship in the summer at Citibank Securities in fixed income sales and trading. But the reason I went to Merrill is because they had this unique global debt rotation program that allowed you to rotate through a couple different business units in fixed income, sales and trading. And I knew I wanted to do trading.

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Transcript: Rick Rieder

Barry Ritholtz

And then somebody convinced me to go into sales and trading, and I decided to do that. But there are so many tools at your disposal, and let alone how much duration you’re taking, how much interest, how much credit risk you’re taking, illiquidity, et cetera. And actually, I was going to go and do something different.

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Transcript: Armen Panossian

Barry Ritholtz

When you look at this present environment, do you think of yourselves more as bottom up credit pickers or, or do you look at the macro environment and say, Hey, we have to figure out what’s going on there? Also, 00:36:15 [Speaker Changed] You know, we’re bottoms up credit pickers. 00:37:26 [Speaker Changed] Huh.

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Transcript: Sean Dobson, Amherst Holdings

Barry Ritholtz

And up until that moment in time, we didn’t spend a lot of time on credit risk in mortgages. We didn’t really have to model credit risk because that was, that risk was taken by the agencies. But in these private labels, you had the, the market was taking the credit risk.