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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

And when you think about translating the S&P 500 PE to an implied equity risk premium by looking at the 10 year treasury yield, you’re 200 basis points below what it’s been for the last 10 years. DAVIS: Yes, we try not to be in the short-term forecasting game. DAVIS: So on the bond side, we have both.

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Transcript: Rick Rieder

Barry Ritholtz

But since you mentioned getting return on the risk you take, how do you think about duration when the three-month Treasury is more or less the same or better than the 10-year? RIEDER: Why do you need the price of the Treasury market to the two-year forward or the three-year forward? And I think people underestimate U.S. RIEDER: Yeah.

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Transcript: Liz Hoffman

Barry Ritholtz

They don’t let the reporters into the fun stuff, but it’s a bunch of CEOs with Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury Secretary, and they’re all yakking about this, the big theme that year, as it often has been since then, was environment, ESG, and they’re all talking about the kind of corporate babble that you hear at these things.

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Transcript: Sean Dobson, Amherst Holdings

Barry Ritholtz

We participated in that with treasury and FHFA and the regulators, the White House. So that was the, that was the sort of the thing that we built that people hadn’t thought through is how do you stochastically forecast a range of outcomes for the asset price? Then how does it affect the repayment risk on the loan?

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Transcript: Ed Hyman

Barry Ritholtz

He is one of those people who focuses on figuring out what’s happening here and now, and is less concerned about making forecasts about the future. I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. So, so let’s talk a little bit about forecasts. Ed is a fascinating guy. His clients adore him.

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Transcript: Dave Nadig

Barry Ritholtz

So whether you’re trying to get managed futures from an active manager or, you know, two months Treasuries, T bills, like the whole spectrum is now available in lose to 3,000 ETFs we are trading here in the U.S. NADIG: Well, I mean, there’s like TLT, with the big Treasury funds, LQD and HYG. It’s how math works.

Finance 107
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Transcript: Gary Cohn

Barry Ritholtz

You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. Hank Paulson had left to go become treasury secretary. I mean, it’s impossible to forecast this sort of thing. We now had the securities business. 01:18:01 [Speaker Changed] Really?

Marketing 107