Remove Forecasting Remove Math Remove Valuation
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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

Barry Ritholtz

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4.

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Q&A: Your Money Map

Barry Ritholtz

Compounding, Denominator Blindness, Survivorship Bias all affect our abilities to make good decisions about the future when even basic math is involved. You write, Forecasts of a recession arriving during the next four years are just a waste of print and pixels. What are some examples of bad numbers?

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Transcript: Richard Bernstein, CEO / CIO of RBA

The Big Picture

Obviously math, there’s a ton of symbolic logic wherever you look, that classic syllogism, right? And then number three is gonna be sentiment and valuation. Now, sometimes people say sentiment and valuation, why are they together? So, so valuation is going to reflect sentiment. The third is sentiment and valuation.

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Transcript: Sander Gerber, CEO and CIO Hudson Bay Capital

Barry Ritholtz

Sander Gerber : Well, actually I was good at math. Because if you don’t include every single data point, then in the matrix math you have a divide by zero issue. The valuation of risk versus 00:46:33 [Speaker Changed] Reward 00:46:34 [Speaker Changed] Is something that I think a machine cannot do in the same way that human can.

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Betting On Style For The Short-On-Time

PYMNTS

This large and growing data set provides the foundation for proprietary algorithms that we use throughout our business, including those that predict purchase behavior, forecast demand, optimize inventory and enable us to design new apparel. “We also gather extensive merchandise data, such as inseam, pocket shape, silhouette and fit.

Math 40
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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

Barry Ritholtz

I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. You really like the long time where you have to hold to make up that valuation whole is so long that you just really shouldn’t be involved. In 2000, right.

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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

DAVIS: Where international equities, because of valuations, probably 7% to 7.5%. RITHOLTZ: So let’s talk about that, because that gap in valuation has persisted for a long time. How durable is that shift, given how large that gap has gotten in valuation between US stocks and the rest of the developed world?