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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

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Moody’s Says Corporate Debt Is High, But Risks Are Contained

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has reached pre-2008 levels, meaning banks are facing risk that is elevated above what has been seen since the financial crisis. The good news, according to Moody’s, is that at this point, their credit analysis of the banking segment indicates that those risks are “contained” over the next 12-18 months. .

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Lending Club’s Terrible Twos

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The consumer credit market has huge potential — trillions and trillions of dollars — and I wanted to ride that winner. Lending Club’s model does not need bank branches on each street corner, and it can turn around in minutes and hours, not days. banks at the time. The Trouble With “Not Being A Bank”.

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Transcript: David Snyderman, Magnetar Capital

Barry Ritholtz

So I switched to be an economics major. I graduated economics with, with a lot of coursework in accounting and finance. And so I remember back, back in 2005 when we first started, you know, we think about the banks. The banks would have an equity trading desk and they’d have a debt desk, right?

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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

So a variety of risk meetings, a variety of economic meetings. And you had to take on significant duration risk and credit risk just to earn a couple percentage points. DAVIS: Where international equities, because of valuations, probably 7% to 7.5%. RITHOLTZ: Yes.

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Transcript: Armen Panossian

Barry Ritholtz

And then very soon after, you know, bear Stearns fails, Lehman Brothers fails, the cracks were massive and there were so much for selling from the trading desks at the banks. And we, we feel that a lot of phone calls, I think the most nervous we became was when the banks started failing. That had mismatched assets. Tell us about that.

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Transcript: Rick Rieder

Barry Ritholtz

In fact, I was going to be a strategist, financial analyst to work for a bank and write research reports. And the ability to say, gosh, you know, there’s a lot of stuff in fixed income, that for a variety of reasons, central bank owns it, a pension fund owns it, insurance companies own it. RIEDER: Right. It has no value.