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Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

CFO News Room

Inflation: The Full Story. I wrote my first post on this blog in 2008, and inflation merited barely a mention until 2020, though it is an integral component of investing and valuation.

Treasury 130
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US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

CFO News Room

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021).

Valuation 130
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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

CFO News Room

As the world’s attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. Ukraine, a part of the Soviet Union, has had its shares of ups and downs, and its economic footprint is even smaller.

Economics 130
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A September 2022 Inflation Update!

CFO News Room

There is a market-based estimate of inflation that comes from the US treasury market, where a comparison of yields on a treasury bond with that on a inflation-protected treasury bond of equivalent maturity provides a measure of expected inflation.

Treasury 130
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Chinese Stocks Gain After Holiday; U.S. Futures Hold Steady

CFO News Room

Valuations of Hong Kong-listed stocks are now quite reasonable, Mr. Ru said, adding that he doesn’t expect China’s internet sector to be hit with major regulatory changes this year. . Treasury yield declined to 1.903%, according to Tradeweb. In the bond market, the benchmark 10-year U.S.

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Musings on Markets: Data Update 1 for 2022: It is Moneyball Time!

CFO News Room

That said, it is my experience with markets that has also made me skeptical about the over selling of both notions, since we have an entire branch of finance (behavioral finance/economics) that has developed to explain how more data does not always lead to better decisions and why crowds can often be collectively wrong.

Marketing 130
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PodChats for FutureCFO: Managing capital in times of persistent instability

Future CFO

In a 2021 blog post , he posited that one of the biggest challenges facing CFOs and other leaders is predicting and being prepared for a future "when you don't know what is around the bend." "The Ultimately, it is the CFO’s decision to invest for this unknown turn in the bend. As a CFO, you need to bring that hygiene to the table.