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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Notably, the work-from-home movement has resulted in a dramatic drop in office valuations that could lead to a whole host of issues, including lending constraints in the banking sector, which is already sitting on a mountain of unrealized losses on Treasuries and mortgages.

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34 Competencies required to become a CFO(SA)

CFO Talks

Competencies include: Working knowledge of risk management, budget, and forecasting tools. Investment and credit risk knowledge. Treasury and investment management. Information quality and control rationalisation are top-of-mind issues for the Steward. Accounting knowledge (IFRS and taxation). Project management.

CFO 52
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Reframing financial uncertainty with data and AI

Future CFO

Moody’s, he noted, is well known for its counterparty credit risk analysis. For example, Oliver Li , treasury manager at Asia Pacific at FMC Corporation , assessed the business value of moving some manufacturing from China to Egypt as the former faced power outages. He called for faster forecast scenarios.

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Transcript: Greg Davis, CIO Vanguard

Barry Ritholtz

And you had to take on significant duration risk and credit risk just to earn a couple percentage points. And when you think about translating the S&P 500 PE to an implied equity risk premium by looking at the 10 year treasury yield, you’re 200 basis points below what it’s been for the last 10 years.

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Transcript: Rick Rieder

Barry Ritholtz

But there are so many tools at your disposal, and let alone how much duration you’re taking, how much interest, how much credit risk you’re taking, illiquidity, et cetera. And how do you make the decision, I’m not comfortable with this credit risk relative to the return it’s going to throw off?

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Transcript: Armen Panossian

Barry Ritholtz

So, 00:25:13 [Speaker Changed] So let’s talk about that before we get to private credit. First time in decades, treasuries and investment grade corporates, it’s, it’s an attractive yield at five 5.5%. Also, 00:36:15 [Speaker Changed] You know, we’re bottoms up credit pickers. That’s an example.

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Transcript: Sean Dobson, Amherst Holdings

Barry Ritholtz

And up until that moment in time, we didn’t spend a lot of time on credit risk in mortgages. We didn’t really have to model credit risk because that was, that risk was taken by the agencies. But in these private labels, you had the, the market was taking the credit risk.