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Explore historical bear markets to decode recession risk, valuation impact, and which investment styles perform best in downturns and recoveries. The post Bear Market Playbook: Decoding Recession Risk, Valuation Impact, and Style Leadership appeared first on CFA Institute Enterprising Investor.
Since the ratings downgrade happened after close of trading on a Friday, there was concern that markets would wake up on the following Monday (May 19) to a wave of selling, and while that did not materialize, the rest of the week was a down week for both stocks and US treasury bonds, especially at the longest end of the maturity spectrum.
Global Finance recently sat down with representatives of three financial institutions, including two development banks and one commercial bank, to discuss banking and the role it plays in Africas economic growth. GF: The other principal source of investment is capital markets, but in many African economies, they are still in their infancy.
billion valuation. billion valuation in a Series E-2 funding round. Published Aug. Dive Insight: New York-based Ramp offers an expense management software platform designed to help businesses optimize their spending and streamline finance operations. Last week, the company announced that it raised $500 million at a $22.5
This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4. Fail better.
While overall 2025 economic conditions have been positive, tariffs, persistent interest rates and geo-political instability are creating uncertainty. Yet many middle-market companies continue to explore opportunities to go public. After a challenging IPO market from 2022 to 2023, conditions have certainly improved.
India's stock market is experiencing a decline as foreign investors withdraw record funds due to concerns about the slowing post-pandemic economic boom. Despite domestic investments preventing a larger downturn, waning consumer spending and high valuations are causing anxieties.
Prior to joining Northern Trust, he was a research analyst at Nuveen Investments where he co-managed two income funds and worked on asset valuation and asset allocation research. Fang has worked in quantitative finance since 2009 and specializes in quantitative research, portfolio management, and risk modeling.
On the other, I worry about people using these premiums in their valuations, without understanding the choices and assumptions that I had to make to get to them. These market-determined numbers will reflect events on the ground almost instantaneously, albeit with more volatility than ratings.
When markets are in free fall, there is a great deal of advice that is meted out to investors, and one is to just buy the dip , i.e., buy beaten down stocks, in the hope that they will recover, or the entire market, if it is down. The evidence for this strategy comes from many sources.
Business Valuation - Determining the value of assets or entire companies. Next, use an appropriate valuation method for each division to estimate their individual worth. The DCF model is flexible, but small changes in assumptions—like the discount rate or expected cash flows—can significantly impact the final valuation.
This guide explores why transaction services are vital, the roles within transaction teams, and the advantages of embracing digital payments with E78 to stay ahead in an ever-changing market. The team helps clients understand each deal’s potential returns and risks by providing accurate valuations and financial models.
It was an interesting year for interest rates in the United States, one in which we got more evidence on the limited power that central banks have to alter the trajectory of market interest rates. We started 2024 with the consensus wisdom that rates would drop during the year, driven by expectations of rate cuts from the Fed.
He has a diverse and a rich portfolio of research that spans big data analytics, health informatics, financial technologies, information security, privacy and valuation, intellectual property rights, online market design, and business impacts of technology.
Considering these findings, CGS expects Southeast Asian ESG to remain an attractive investment theme due to the regional economic growth that remains above the global average, as well as to the fact that inflation is not a major problem in the region's key markets.
If only there were some ways to prevent investors from interfering with the markets greatest strength the incomparable and guaranteed ability to create wealth by compounding over time. Drawdowns, corrections, and crashes are not the problem your behavior in response to market turmoil is what causes long-term financial harm.
Despite these challenges, our overall outlook remains optimistic, with a strong economy providing a solid foundation for global markets. As the Federal Reserve embarks on a rate-cutting cycle, we anticipate a gradual decline in US Treasury rates, which could support equity valuations and enhance the appeal of income-oriented strategies.
The Middle East has become an area of intense focus and investment for banks, driven by rapid digital adoption, economic diversification—underscored by such ambitious investment projects as Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 and the United Arab Emirates’ Vision 2030—and the region’s emergence as a global trade and logistics hub.
The second was a comment that I made on a LinkedIn post that had built on my implied equity premium approach to the Indian market but had run into a roadblock because of an assumption that, in an efficient market, the return on equity would equate to the cost of equity.
trillion in global dry powder waiting to be deployed, and signs of an improving IPO market , PE firms are adapting to drive returns. Growth, Operational Efficiency and Margin Improvement: The Profitability Triad In 2025, with economic slowdowns tightening growth, private equity sponsors face extended holding periodsaveraging 6.7
More recently, the lab launched its “beyondbanking” initiative, an effort to identify nonfinancial markets that OTP Group could penetrate. It partners primarily with startups in Series A and Series B rounds of investments—those that have already demonstrated strong market traction and a market fit for their products.
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Bachelor’s in economics and a BS in computer science from Wellesley in Boston and then an MBA from Harvard Business School. So it was Pascal then c plus plus, and then I took an economics class and that’s when the lights went off because it was a very mathematical field in many ways, but also with a link to the Rio economy.
In today’s market, private equity firms recognize that acquisition alone no longer drives sufficient growth. In today’s competitive and high-cost market, sponsors rely on margin expansion to drive higher valuations and prepare portfolio companies for exit. In 2025, top-performing firms go beyond sourcing deals.
As India steps into 2025, the economy finds itself at a crossroads, marked by ambitious reforms, shifting market dynamics, and persistent challenges. Despite keen efforts, obstacles like unemployment and rupee valuation remain a pressing issue.
Capital markets have seen a dramatic rise in the valuation of digital currencies over the last couple of months. For example, Norways sovereign fund has become a cryptocurrency market leader by investing in crypto-related businesses. The UK has approximately 61,200 BTC, according to the reports authors.
She is interested in valuation and data analysis and plans to study for a master's degree and pursue the CFA charter. He currently serves as Director of the new Financial Planning and Wealth Management major at George Mason and founded the first student-managed investment fund at GMU.
Whether its breaking into new markets, attaining cash flow positivity, or preparing for an exit strategy, the vision must be clear and measurable. His approach involves working backward from desired outcomes, such as an EBITDA goal or exit valuation, and breaking these down into actionable steps and KPIs.
Massimiliano Saccone, CFA, is the founder and CEO of XTAL Strategies, a fintech SME developing a platform of innovative private market indices and risk-transfer solutions. He is also a Lieutenant of the Reserve of the Guardia di Finanza, the Italian financial law enforcement agency.
Mounting recession fears, renewed trade tensions, and shifting political winds are weighing heavily on corporate dealmakers and private equity firmsparticularly in the US, where valuations remain flat. Deals got done in Q1 but it has been slow and will probably get slower as the year progresses. Safe to say, that hasnt happened.
These days, turning on the TV to get the latest news about the markets and the economy can be enough to send anyone into panic mode. The second section of your book focuses on Bad Numbers, or in other words, misleading numbers that could drive the economy, the markets and ultimately, your investments. How useful is management guidance?
Ultimately, lack of financial know-how can leave you unprepared for shifting economic conditions that could undermine revenue and growth. Invest – Beyond your savings, you’ll also want to invest in key areas like talent, technology, and marketing so that you can scale.
The first half of 2025 has been a wild ride, both in terms of news headlines and market movements. From tariffs, a market correction, and an escalating conflict in the Middle East to the dollar reaching a three-year low, the investment landscape presented many reasons for concern. in April. While the U.S. So far, though, the U.S.
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Move fast and break things may work in Silicon Valley, but it is not what market participants want from the White House (or the Federal Reserve). There are economic risks, market risks, systemic factors, currency risks, constitutional questions, and ultimately, the standing of the United States as a global superpower and ally.
But while the outcomes of R&D can transform markets, accounting for these costs often presents significant complexity. ✅ Pilot plants : Operating at a scale not yet economically feasible for commercial production. ✅ Engineering : Work needed to achieve a commercially viable product that meets specific functional and economic specs.
His teams floated everything from a 20% flat rate to tailored reciprocal hikes, and the outcome hinges on how much economic pain everyoneU.S. Can you pass them on without losing market share? Build a watchlist, but temper valuations for trade-war volatility. Third, a long-shot reset : If tariffs somehow turbocharge U.S.
Schumacher is actively engaged with various local nonprofits and guest lectures to graduate students about the global economy and financial markets. Schumacher is a chartered financial analyst (CFA). He and his wife have two children and enjoy spending time in the Colorado outdoors.
But let’s start with your background in your career, applied mathematics and economics from Brown and then a Harvard MBA. I mean, I can’t tell you how, to your point, that flywheel between moving up market into institutions feeds your self-directed business. We’ll, we’ll get into that in a little bit.
But before we get to that, let’s start with Bachelor’s in economics from Hamilton, MBA from NYU. And a friend of mine who had gotten fired from this economic consulting firm, got a job at Chase Econometrics, IDC, and said, you have to come over here. Barry Ritholtz : I’m, I’m thrilled to have you.
Market participants entered the year hoping for a robust revival in M&A, IPO, and debt financing activities. The market was, in many ways, still grappling with the hangover from the previous years stagnation. That said, market dynamics dont necessarily spell doom and gloom across all regions and sectors.
Meghan Robson: The economic landscape has been positive and driven credit spreads to multiyear tights. Data has been better than we expected, not only in the labor market but also consumer spending remains very resilient. The market still expects that the Fed will be able to continue rate cuts at a regular cadence into next year.
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