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Weve got what we think is a rather exciting model, which we describe in a working paper, that helps forecast in advance the likelihood that a firm will go on to commit accounting fraud. So, they change inventory methodology, or they change their assumptions on revenue recognition, and they make it such that they beat these forecasts.
Forecast Like a CFO, Not a Fortune Teller If your forecast still fits neatly on a spreadsheet tab and assumes the world will behave, its time for a rethink. Because lets face these days, planning the future on a single-track projection is like betting the farm on a weather forecast. Not every risk deserves a forecast branch.
Forecasting shouldnt require a PhD in Excel or a week of IT support. Forecasts get trapped in spreadsheets. Thats where no-code forecasting in Power BI changes the game. What No-Code Forecasting Actually Means When we say no-code, we dont mean lightweight or dumbed-down. No-code forecasting solves this. The impact?
Before You Forecast the Future, Figure Out Who You Are! But it is your self-awareness, your ability to understand and lead yourself, that keeps you there and earns you influence beyond the numbers. Put simply, when you are self-aware, you are not only reading the numbers. The CFO is not just the gatekeeper of financial data.
Speaker: Claire Grosjean, Global Finance & Operations Executive
While analytics offers powerful insights, financial intelligence requires more than just numbers—it takes the right blend of automation, strategy, and human expertise. Forecasting That Works 📈 How AI and predictive analytics can improve financial planning.
Running the Numbers Without Running from the Truth No one sees the cracks forming in a businesss foundation quite like the CFO. Before the headlines, before the boardroom fallout, the numbers tell a story – and its your responsibility to make sure its the truth. You see the numbers before anyone else.
Heading into 2025, accurate sales forecasting is more critical than ever. Here are five key ways to align your sales forecasting and budgeting processes for success in the year ahead. Here are five key ways to align your sales forecasting and budgeting processes for success in the year ahead.
As an increasing number of economists forecast a recession, financial leaders are contemplating hiring freezes, even as businesses describe their teams as "understaffed."
Numbers Never Lie but They Rarely Tell the Whole Story For too long, financial analysis has been seen as a back-office functionprocessing numbers, producing reports, and ensuring compliance. How do we create a culture where finance professionals actively challenge assumptions, look beyond the numbers, and uncover the bigger picture?
Cash flow isn’t just about balancing numbers - it's about ensuring your organization is positioned for both immediate stability and long-term success. Go beyond traditional forecasting models, identifying key leverage points within your organization for liquidity, even in the most challenging environments.
With rolling forecasts, businesses can gain better insight while aligning their sales and production goals with what’s actually happening from a financial perspective. Read on to discover the benefits of rolling budgeting, rolling financial forecasting, and mid-year forecasts for your business. What’s a Rolling Forecast?
As a growing number of economists forecast a downturn, finance chiefs are wrestling with if or when to make the hard, emotionally-charged call to cut jobs.
Being good at finance and getting numbers right is not enough anymore Of course, strong analytical skills and knowledge of finance are essential for an FP&A professional but gone are those days when these skills or proficiency in Excel were enough to excel in this role, pardon the pun.
As such, their responsibilities include: budgeting and forecasting, managing mergers or acquisitions, and handling compliance issues. As such, a CFO is especially valuable for a company that is growing quickly, employs a large number of employees, and/or has complex product lines.
The general-purpose platform can address any number of use cases from the front office to the back office, such as customer analytics, financial analytics, HR analytics, demand forecasting, procurement, and more. UBIX is an Advanced Analytics and AI Platform designed for the business user.
While spreadsheets have long reigned supreme as the foundation of budgeting and forecasting for many organizations, the shortcomings of this legacy, siloed tool have become too hard to ignore. Accuracy is the critical to the budgeting and forecasting process. Confidence – Am I confident in the numbers coming out of the model?
However, one of the most important planning tools for a business of any size is cash flow forecasting – and it’s especially important in times of uncertainty. Knowing the timing, amount and predictability of future cash flows with cash flow forecasting should be an essential component of the budgeting and planning process.
Atradius has recently upgraded its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 2.4%, which is a slowdown from 2022 but a significant improvement on earlier predictions. In addition, the firm posted a global GDP growth forecast of 2.0% Emerging market economies (EMEs) will fare better, with forecast growth of 3.9% for 2024. “We
This accessible program can accomplish various tasks, such as financial forecasting and budgeting. Excel is an easy-to-use platform for inputting numbers and getting results with simple formulas. If your business has used Excel for financial forecasting, you may have found some challenges with the program.
Noise in predictions : One reason that the expert class is increasingly mistrusted is because of the unwillingness on the part of many in this class to admit to uncertainty in their forecasts for the future. Aggregate operating numbers 3. Corporate Governance & Descriptive 1. Insider, CEO & Institutional holdings 2.
The challenge in writing How NOT to Invest was organizing a large number of ideas, many of which were only loosely connected, into something coherent, understandable, and, most importantly, readable. Bad Numbers : 4. It is March 18th! Publication day is finally here! Why are we constantly prodded to take action now!
Cash flow forecasting provides that much needed insight and is the most effective way to start future-proofing your business for the year ahead. Or perhaps your integrated cash flow reports are based on GAAP accounting rules, not formulas, but aren’t supported in your current planning and forecasting software application. Learn More.
These solutions create and support a budgeting and forecasting process that is more efficient with shared ownership that reduces risk and uncertainty. Real-time cash flow is a vital piece of information that can get swallowed by all the other numbers, or worse, left out of reporting entirely.
A Checklist for Healthcare Organizations: No matter the size of your healthcare organization, predictive financial planning and forecasting is critical for ensuring that you are efficient and sustainable, and even more critical during times of uncertainty. Track and control costs. Produce custom healthcare reports.
If you see market strategists or journalists talking about negative equity risk premiums, this (the difference between the earnings yield and the treasury rate) is the number that they are referencing. As rates have risen, though, the difference has narrowed, and at the start of 2025, the earnings yield exceeded the treasury rate.
Your ability to provide expert guidance through your business budget and forecasting process will require you to have a deep understanding of your cash flow. These are big bets, and to make them, business leaders want confidence in their business budgeting and forecasting. How much can a CEO rely on the numbers in the forecast?
This issue hampers forecasting accuracy, risk management, and resource allocation. Without accurate insights, businesses struggle with forecasting, risk management, and resource allocation. This leads to better budgeting, more reliable forecasting, and stronger financial stability. Use past data to predict future performance.
He also highlights the importance of building agility in supply chain management and, external focus and benchmarking in forecasting, whilst continuing to be data and insight-led. In weathering these challenges, Shivam notes the importance of having clarity of vision and ensuring resource allocations are clearly aligned with the vision.
Despite some recession-watch contrarians, the JPMorgan survey findings dovetail with a growing number of forecasters penciling a downturn into their 2023 calendars.
Finance leaders are now seeing generative artificial intelligence to have the most immediate impact on explaining forecast amd budget variances, according to Gartner, Inc. The post Finance leaders see GenAI to have most immediate impact on forecast, budget appeared first on FutureCFO.
We provide a very user-friendly tool where you just insert the numbers from the target and from the buyer, and you get a score indicating the likelihood of success. Every quarter it either met or exceeded analysts revenue forecasts. Some factors are more important than others, particularly for executives contemplating an acquisition.
They build a pipeline, track progress, forecast revenue, and follow up religiously. Instead of relying on memory or sticky notes, he uses Salesforce as a second brainsetting reminders, tracking conversations, and forecasting outcomes. Sales professionals are trained to own the process.
Accountability Isnt Admin Its Your Performance Lever For all the talk about AI-driven forecasting, real-time dashboards, and digitising the finance function, there remains one cornerstone of high-performing finance teams that no technology can replace: accountability. Forecasting becomes a game of optimism versus realism.
For instance, using automated invoicing software could save hours of manual work, enabling your team to focus on higher-value tasks like analysing trends or forecasting. Build Resilient Teams: Train your finance team to look beyond numbers. Regularly Review Your Cost Structure A detailed cost review is not just an annual exercise.
Financial models are essential for organizations, helping forecast financial performance using historical data and future projections. This practice allows businesses, investors, and finance professionals to evaluate investment opportunities, assess risks, forecast future scenarios, and support strategic decision-making.
Upmanyu never mistook rows of numbers for the whole story. Today he pushes growth by leading with the firms publiccloud platform and embedding AI into forecasting. His employer at the time couldnt tell which products paid the bills; by dawn, the young financial analyst could. CFOTL: Lets find out about Cloudera.
According to Dow Jones, the consensus forecast calls for 187,000 new nonfarm jobs in January, down from 223,000 that were created in December. But economists say it’s not clear how much of that will show up in the labor numbers. A higher-than-expected number might be viewed as just an outlier, he added.
Businesses do not just want accurate numbers. Forecasts should reflect current conditions, not assumptions from last quarter. Forecasting cycles should be made shorter and more flexible. Instead of reporting a number, suggest what to do about it. They want insight, delivered when it matters, in a way they can act on.
Verma notes, "In finance, data intelligence can work as pillars to achieve better forecasting, budgeting, and strategic planning." As finance professionals transition from number crunchers to strategic advisors, the ability to convey complex data insights understandably becomes crucial.
For example, automate a variance analysis report or create a simple budget forecasting dashboard to save time and improve accuracy. Imagine your team accessing the same reliable data for budget planning, forecasting, and reportingno more version control nightmares. Automation does double duty: It saves time and increases accuracy.
The ability to analyze numbers and translate them into actionable strategies has always intrigued me. Early in my career, I realized that finance is not just about managing numbers—it’s about empowering organizations to make informed decisions, optimize resources, and achieve long-term goals.
Before we talk about numbers, its important to define the scope of the role. Do you need someone to: Improve budgeting and forecasting? Project-Based Pricing This model sets a fixed fee for a specific deliverable, such as preparing financials for fundraising or building a forecasting model.
He instructs his managers to spend no more than 10 percent of their time on accounting and the rest interpreting what the numbers mean. To counter this, Innocent and his team use agile forecasting frameworks, scenario modelling, and real-time analytics. Over the years, Ive learned that forecasting must be agile.
Achieving this requires more than crunching numbers; it demands insight, context, and actionable recommendations. A trendline graph showing the gradual change in margins alongside a pie chart of cost contributors paints a clearer picture than numbers alone. Context Adds Clarity Numbers alone don’t provide meaning.
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