article thumbnail

3rd Quarter Economic And Market Outlook: Understanding Risks And Opportunities In The Web Of Inflation, Interest Rates, Valuations, And More

Nerd's Eye View

People often talk about "the economy" as a single entity whose parts move in unison, with a small number of key indicators (such as GDP, the unemployment rate, and inflation) moving reliably in relation to each other.

article thumbnail

Transcript: Zeke Faux, Number Go Up

Barry Ritholtz

 The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Zeke Faux, Number Go Up , is below. Zeke Fox’s book number go up inside crypto’s Wild Rise and staggering. Zeke Faux: 00:02:38 Yes, and I mean the title of the book number go up Inside Crypto’s Wild Rise and Staggering Fall. And he is like number go up.

Numbers 61
Insiders

Sign Up for our Newsletter

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Trending Sources

article thumbnail

Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

With these earnings and cash flows as starting points, and assuming that the treasury bond rate of 3.88% is a fair interest rate, I value the S&P 500: Download valuation spreadsheet Note that I forecast earnings beyond 2025, by assuming that growth scales down to the growth rate of the economy, estimated to be roughly equal to the riskfree rate.

article thumbnail

US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

CFO News Room

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021).

Valuation 130
article thumbnail

A September 2022 Inflation Update!

CFO News Room

In terms of content, I am afraid this post will contain nothing new, but the fresh uncertainties about inflation, and its impact, that have opened up this summer require at least an updating of the numbers. . While spending the bulk of 2021 in denial, investors seem to have woken up, and expected inflation numbers are reflecting that.

Treasury 130
article thumbnail

Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

CFO News Room

Inflation numbers have been coming in high now, for more than a year, but for much of the early part of 2021, bankers, investors and politicians seemed to be either in denial or casually dismissive of its potential for damage.

Treasury 130
article thumbnail

Market Bipolarity: Exuberance versus Exhaustion!

Musings on Markets

While the rise in treasury rates has been less dramatic this year, rates have continued to rise across the term structure: US Treasury While short term rates rose sharply in the first half of the year, and long term rates stabilized, the third quarter has sen a reversal, with short term rates now stabilizing and long term rates rising.

Marketing 104