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The “Art” of Market Timing

Barry Ritholtz

This weekend Jeff Sommer discussed a DFA research paper on market timing; both are well worth your time to read. The broad strokes are: Market timing is extremely difficult, very few people (if any) do it consistently well. Low Stakes : The most successful market timers are often those people who do not have actual assets at risk.

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How to Create a Financial Forecast with Your CFO

CFO Share

Financial forecasting is an essential practice, but navigating the waters of financial planning can be daunting, especially when you’re considering bringing a fractional CFO on board for the first time. What is a Financial Forecast? Updating forecasts monthly is considered best practice. Final forecast review.

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What Does the Market “Know” ?

Barry Ritholtz

The link was to James Mackintosh’s column “ Five Not-Quite-Impossible Things the Market Believes.” But rational people can reasonably disagree on anything market-related — after all, someone has to be on the other side of your trade. As to what the market “knows:” Stop Anthropomorphizing Mr. Market.

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Differences Between Budgeting and Forecasting in Business

Spreadym

Budgeting and forecasting in business are both financial planning tools used by businesses, but they serve different purposes and have distinct characteristics. Here's an overview of the key differences between budgeting and forecasting. Forecast: Forecasts can vary in terms of their time horizon.

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Market Bipolarity: Exuberance versus Exhaustion!

Musings on Markets

That recovery notwithstanding, uncertainties about inflation and the economy remained unresolved, and those uncertainties became part of the market story in the third quarter of 2023. The Markets in the Third Quarter Coming off a year of rising rates in 2022, interest rates have continued to command center stage in 2023.

Marketing 104
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At the Money: Is War Good for Markets?

Barry Ritholtz

 At the Money: Is War Good for Markets? February 14, 2024) What does history tell us about how war impacts the stock market? Can these patterns inform us of future bull market behavior? To help us unpack all of this and what it means for your investments, let’s bring in Jeff Hirsch. Jeff Hirsch : Yeah. As vicious.

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Rolling forecast for business: key approaches

Spreadym

Rolling forecast is a financial planning and forecasting approach that involves continuously updating and extending the forecast based on the latest available data and information. As the current period elapses, the forecast is extended by adding a new period, maintaining the same forecast horizon.