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How Different Monte Carlo Models Perform In The Real World: Assessing Quality Of Predictiveness In Retirement Income Forecasting Models

Nerd's Eye View

When planning for retirement, it’s effectively impossible to precisely forecast the performance and timing of future investment returns, which in turn makes it challenging to accurately predict a plan’s success or failure.

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The “Art” of Market Timing

Barry Ritholtz

Let’s delve into these to see if they apply to your own investing and trading: Instinct : Malcolm Gladwell’s Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking , discusses the strengths and capabilities of the “ adaptive unconscious.” And, it has the advantage of leaving your actual investments alone.

Marketing 118
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10 Thursday AM Reads

Barry Ritholtz

Americans still have jobs and are continuing to spend — on plastic surgery, motorcycles and cruises — leading many to revise their doom-and-gloom forecasts. This summer’s economy is defying the odds. Washington Post ) • The Anti-California: How Montana performed a housing miracle : Montana had a supply crisis.

Math 98
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Negotiation for Physicians

Adam Kae

Models, Forecasts, Calculations, Oh My! You'll need to do some math to understand: where your breakeven is. Invest more in new technology? Then, it's best to do some modeling and forecast the different acceptable scenarios based on your negotiations. Your Negotiation Strategy. how many of your patients are in-network.

Math 52
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This FP&A Factor will Cost US Businesses $7,800,000,000 in 2022

The Finance Weekly

Breaking down the Math. The scope of manual work is also quite large and covers categories such as budgets, month-end closes, and forecasts. Investors want the most accurate data possible, and without it, trust or actual investments may be harmed. In addition, annual company budgets can take up to six months to prepare!

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Transcript: Tom Hancock, GMO

Barry Ritholtz

I love finding these people who are just absolute rock stars within their space that most of the investing public probably is not familiar with, haven’t heard about them. Tremendous track record, unusual background comes from computer science and software and, and pivoted into quantitative investing. Really fascinating guy.

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How to Build a Remote-First Workforce Planning Model: Best Practices for Planning a Cost-Effective Hybrid Workforce

Onplan

Let’s look closer at the headcount math. Let’s assume over the 4 year forecast window that 50% join in the same state as each office; 20% join in California; 20% in New York; and 10% elsewhere. It’s a pain to keep a model like this up to date with the latest staff list and compare the forecast with actuals as time progresses.