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This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4. Ignore the scolds.
Now, were at another pivotal point, transitioning fully from a Yellow Pages marketing business to a software company. And dont think its all about math; its more about strategy. This involved restructuring the former company, setting up the right platform, and securing the proper capital structure. That was really challenging.
For those of you who have been tracking the market, the AI segment in the market has held its own since September, but even before the last weekend, there were signs that investors were sobering up on not only how big the payoff to AI would be, but how long they would have to wait to get there.
Meb Faber : Well, it’s a romping, stomping bull market. And that’s the broad market. And the way math works, you end up with a stock that goes up a bunch. We’ve done the math on some of these high-yield portfolios and taxable accounts.
If only there were some ways to prevent investors from interfering with the markets greatest strength the incomparable and guaranteed ability to create wealth by compounding over time. Drawdowns, corrections, and crashes are not the problem your behavior in response to market turmoil is what causes long-term financial harm.
As technology, market conditions and business practices are constantly evolving, there's always something new to learn out there. Moreover, according to various studies, the better we are at crunching numbers and math, the more we fail at analyzing patterns that contradict our views.
Yet the real challenge is that most financial evaluations dont fail because of bad math’sthey fail because they miss the bigger picture. But in todays environmentwhere capital is scarce, markets shift fast, and expectations are highCFOs cant afford that approach. What if the market doesnt respond the way we expect?
I took a lot of math classes. I couldn’t give up math in computer science. And ultimately the decision was to focus more on developed markets. It’s, it’s really more about staying ahead of inflation than it is about generating market beating returns. But for me, this was not an option. at Wellesley.
My family wanted me to do medicine as i was good at both math’s and science, but finance was where my heart was. My ideal superpower will be instant financial foresight – the ability to accurately predict market trends and economic shifts. It was then that i new finance was my go-to carrier choice.
These days, turning on the TV to get the latest news about the markets and the economy can be enough to send anyone into panic mode. The second section of your book focuses on Bad Numbers, or in other words, misleading numbers that could drive the economy, the markets and ultimately, your investments.
There are a few people in the world of fixed income that understands the bond market, the ETF market, what the fed’s doing, what is driving both institutional and household investors on the fixed income side. It’s sort of like math with dollar signs attached to it. I thought this conversation was really fascinating.
So while you might once upon a time have thought about, you know, the Morgan Stanley financial advisors as, as, you know, serving that ultra high net worth, you know, core client, you know, now we’re, you know, serving folks in the mass market through E-Trade. I mean, let me just give you an example. Those are such non-normative terms.
Obviously math, there’s a ton of symbolic logic wherever you look, that classic syllogism, right? So you start out essentially as an analyst, how do you, how do you work your way up to market strategists and then chief investment strategist for, for the thundering 00:10:11 [Speaker Changed] Herd? Absolutely.
Bill Bernstein : I’ll give credit to a guy you may have heard of named Frank Armstrong, who was one of the early efficient market passive indexing advocates. I couldnt figure out where it came from; so I worked out the canonical math. I’m not gonna be a stock picker, or a market timer. Indexings is an admission.
But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. They will earn that market return less, whatever they’re paying. 00:12:21 [Speaker Changed] You get the markets return. Surprise, surprise.
Christine Philpots of Aerial Investments has specialized in emerging markets and frontier markets. She’s a boots on the ground type of investor who focuses and specializes in emerging market value. What makes that style of investing so interesting and different is simply market inefficiencies.
And so he kind of put himself out there on the job market and he thought, well, I could either go for a dean position or I could, you know, go for some kind of endowed chair somewhere, you know, move up. Wasn’t the Excel spreadsheet error, which changed their math. And you know, he, he’s a history professor.
I wanna, I want to get into some of the details before we start talking about markets and investing. Yeah, you have to, you know, the conceit of finance is that basically the math is all there is to it. So you’re a proponent of modern portfolio theory and the efficient market hypothesis. I, I’ve had enough of that.
Barry Ritholtz : you were head of strategy, product marketing, communications, like is that one job, is that four jobs? You know, this guy isn’t gonna be rattled by a market sell off or a crisis. So he was very present on campus in my earliest years at Vanguard, but I did not work with him directly.
That experience those two things combined to really create a kind of unique perspective on the world of markets, on the world of risk, and on the world of models. Sander Gerber : Well, actually I was good at math. And it helped him emotionally to trade better because he realized that mother markets was gonna be right.
He is also on the Federal Open Markets committee and is responsible for a variety of Richmond Fed Tech technology and bank supervision. And when I went there I was gonna be a lawyer and I was gonna major in mathematics and I took my freshman year math and that all went great. He’s been a member of the Richmond Fed since 2018.
One way that advisors can help bridge this gap is by using Historical Market Visualization (HiMaV) as a more intuitive alternative for illustrating retirement income strategies. What works about HiMaV is that it grounds financial projections in a story-based context.
This was an indication, this was market testing. How did you figure out to short the market in 2007? And it wasn’t that, oh, the free market figured this out, but for the regulations we would still be having all these coal mine collapses. Because at that point, hey, markets only go up. So they were just used to it.
New York Times Magazine ) • Wall Street Math Wizards Are Decoding Private-Market Returns : A small band of quants is shining a light into the shadowy world of unlisted assets. As revolutionary new weight-loss drugs turn consumers off ultraprocessed foods, the industry is on the hunt for new products. ( Try these 15 factors instead. (
Drop Site ) Americas Health Insurance Grinches: A Scathing Indictment of Market Economics : The countrys flawed insurance model, driven by greed, leads to inefficiency, inequality, and denied care – a colossal scam that has sparked fury across the nation.(
Only 5 stocks driving markets?! Equal-weighted Nasdaq100 up 17% since the June lows for the market because “it’s only 5 stocks”? How bad at math do you need to be to think that it’s only 5 stocks driving this market? Only 5 stocks driving markets 2. Then why are Equal-weighted indices doing so well?
If you’re a chief marketing officer (CMO), the current economic uncertainty undoubtedly creates anxiety for you, your team, and your agencies. The Mobile Marketing Association (MMA) has demonstrated the tight correlation between advertising spend and economic indicators like GDP growth by looking at historical data.
This weekend Jeff Sommer discussed a DFA research paper on market timing; both are well worth your time to read. The broad strokes are: Market timing is extremely difficult, very few people (if any) do it consistently well. Low Stakes : The most successful market timers are often those people who do not have actual assets at risk.
But that’s not all : I also have the opportunity to invest those dollars : I can buy a broad market index, expecting it’ll appreciate; I can buy bonds and enjoy the income they yield; I could purchase real estate, which either gives me a place to live or rent out for income; I could also use that money to start or build a business.
So Walmart went to its go-to strength in this battle, and that’s mass market media. That’s partly because of their slow pace, and perhaps partly because the company isn’t making a point of calling them part of a campaign to become a lifestyle company,” says the stock market analysis site.
A host of potential resolutions to the mystery flooded across the web – the most popular being that this was some kind of marketing stunt by In-N-Out, possible portending a New York opening. The problem with marketing stunts is that they rarely thread that needle. But In-N-Out was pretty adamant that it wasn’t them. But they didn’t.
eCommerce market is far below previous projections. The downward revision of Amazon’s market share comes as the eCommerce giant finds itself, along with Facebook and Google, in the cross-hairs of regulators who believe they’ve grown too large, too powerful and very much in need of antitrust oversight. eMarketer has done its math.
Intel’s market share continues to decline. Its stock price has plummeted 60% this year and its market capitalization fell below $100 billion in early August: the first time that has happened since 2012. This would translate to a market value of about $135 billion.
This, Ciabarra notes, is a notable difference in bottom line for small and medium sized businesses on tight margins – that requires essentially no investment or upgrade – or marketing costs – just willingness to participate in a virtual world that someone else maintains.
However, when he didn’t secure a senior contract at Bradford City, he left that path behind and went on to study maths at University. This transparency also helps build consensus-based scenario planning, where decisions can be explored and talked about before they’re enacted.
TikTokInvestors: “Apart from his misleading arrogance and the inaccurate market statistics mentioned, a 401K is possibly the best investment vehicle for the average American. I doubt he’s run the real numbers of being invested in the stock market tax deferred with an additional company match. The dumbest idea ever!
We simply do not know; there are always myriad factors at play in our dynamic labor market. That’s not even math. They show a net gain of a statistically insignificant 13 jobs added. There were 2k shed in March. Was that related to the minimum wage? The wage hike took place Apr 1 2024. That’s just being able to read a calendar.
On average, our customers will see a 20 percent lift in approvals and a 30 percent reduction in charge-offs just by deploying better math,” de Vere said. De Vere isn’t bashful when it comes to talking about Zest AI, its mission and product/market fit. “We 15M In New Funding . That's our future,” de Vere said.
As a business owner, you need to understand what your total cost of marketing and sales is. This might include the amount you’re spending on: Digital marketing. Marketing salaries and bonuses (which depend on whether you’re marketing is outsourced or in-house). Let’s look at customer acquisition first.
Barron’s ) • The Bear Market’s Survivors Share Their Biggest Lessons : With the S&P 500 in the longest bear market since 1973, individual investors maneuver differently from just months ago. But most of all, it was just simple maths according to Druck. The easy part is over. The first was don’t lose money.
Additionally, certain types of Monte Carlo analyses were found to be more error-prone than others, including a Traditional Monte Carlo approach using a single set of Capital Markets Assumptions (CMAs) applied across the entire plan, and a Reduced-CMA Monte Carlo analysis, similar to the Traditional model but with CMAs reduced by 2%.
And recent declines in TIPS’ auction prices, along with other market signals, suggest some investors believe inflation may cool off, which could also hurt their returns. Investors can mitigate this interest-rate risk by buying TIPS themselves—either directly from the Treasury or in the market—and holding them to maturity.
This framework is designed to address how the technology could be used across multiple business functions to increase efficiencies across markets, including how blockchain can transform the way information and services are shared. Japan Cracks Down On Bitcoin Exchanges.
Morgan Housel Finance types tend to focus on attributes like intelligence, math skills and computer programming. You can know everything about math and data and markets, but if you don’t control your sense of greed and fear and you’re managing uncertainty in your behavior, none of it matters. None of it matters.
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